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Kastrioti vs Flamurtari

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Kasmollari O.

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë game between Kastrioti and Flamurtari finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kastrioti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kastrioti
35%
Draws
19%
Flamurtari
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kastrioti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Flamurtari haven't matched Kastrioti's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kastrioti a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Flamurtari have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 68%
Flamurtari Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastrioti Flamurtari
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 13
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Flamurtari
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Flamurtari vs Kastrioti
2:1
Jan 26, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Flamurtari vs Kastrioti
3:0
Oct 26, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Flamurtari
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Flamurtari
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kastrioti Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasmollari O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Flamurtari Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastrioti 59 / 100
Flamurtari 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastrioti Flamurtari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kastrioti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastrioti scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Flamurtari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Kastrioti has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kastrioti VS Flamurtari
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastrioti

(Home)
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
07 May
Pogradeci
3 : 0
Kastrioti
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 6

Flamurtari

(Away)
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
10 May
Vllaznia
2 : 0
Flamurtari
06 May
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Teuta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)