Sport Picks
Kastrioti vs Iliria Kruja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Albania
Kategoria e Parë 
AI Match Summary
Kastrioti host Iliria Kruja in the Kategoria e Parë. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kastrioti have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Iliria Kruja's 1.03 scored and 1.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Kastrioti slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.38) back Iliria Kruja to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Kastrioti at 1.38 per game, Iliria Kruja at 1.03.
- Model gives Kastrioti a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kastrioti | Iliria Kruja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kastrioti scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Iliria Kruja has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Kastrioti went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kastrioti
(Home)Iliria Kruja
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogradeci | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Besa Kavaje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Bylis | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Flamurtari | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Kukesi | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 6 | Iliria Kruja | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Beselidhja Lezha | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Kastrioti | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 9 | Korabi Peshkopi | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Burreli | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 11 | Sopoti Librazhd | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 12 | KF Oriku | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:15 | 0 |
