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Kastrioti vs Laci

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tresa L.
25' Event
Bibo S.
62' Event
Mecja F.

AI Match Summary

Laci in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Laci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Kastrioti
20%
Draws
58%
Laci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Laci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Laci lately — more wins on the board than Kastrioti.
  • Win probability leans Laci's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 10%
Laci Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kastrioti Laci
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 22
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 1.43 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Laci
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Laci
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Laci vs Kastrioti
3:1
May 29, 2023 Abissnet Superiore
Laci vs Kastrioti
3:0
Apr 2, 2023 Abissnet Superiore
Kastrioti vs Laci
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kastrioti Compare

Top Goalscorer Mecja F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Laci Compare

Top Goalscorer Tresa L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bibo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.96
Avg xA / game 1.2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kastrioti 22 / 100
Laci 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kastrioti Laci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Laci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kastrioti scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Laci let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Kastrioti went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kastrioti VS Laci
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kastrioti

(Home)
07 May
Pogradeci
3 : 0
Kastrioti
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0
Kastrioti
11 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
Laci
Page 1 of 6

Laci

(Away)
29 Aug
Partizani
1 : 2
Laci
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
15 Aug
KF Tirana
2 : 2
Laci
29 Jul
Vllaznia
3 : 0
Laci
25 Jul
Laci
3 : 1
Kukesi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)