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Kasuka vs Shan United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Kasuka Logo

Kasuka

Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Shan United Logo

Shan United

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kasuka host Shan United in the AFC Challenge League. Shan United go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Kasuka at 1 goals for, 3 against; Shan United at 2.52 for, 1.07 against. Head-to-head, Kasuka have won 0 to Shan United's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2024, ending 3:1. xG projections (0.59 - 2.56) back Shan United to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Kasuka
15%
Draws
65%
Shan United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shan United lately — more wins on the board than Kasuka.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Shan United taking it.
  • Regular AFC Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kasuka Clean Sheet 10%
Shan United Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kasuka Shan United
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 2 18
Draws 1 5
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1 2.52
Goals Conceded 3 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.59 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2024 ASEAN Club Championship
Shan United vs Kasuka
3:1
Jul 17, 2024 ASEAN Club Championship
Kasuka vs Shan United
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kasuka 10 / 100
Shan United 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kasuka Shan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kasuka scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Shan United conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Kasuka remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kasuka VS Shan United
0.8 Goals Scored 3.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
60% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kasuka

(Home)
15 Sept
Kasuka
2 : 1
Karketu Dili
12 Sept
Kasuka
1 : 4
Manila Digger
04 Sept
Manila Digger
5 : 1
Kasuka
15 Aug
Cebu FC
3 : 0
Kasuka
12 Aug
Kasuka
0 : 6
Phnom Penh Crown
Page 1 of 2

Shan United

(Away)
11 Oct
Hantharwady United
0 : 2
Shan United
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al Ansar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ahal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Paro 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Nejmeh SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Homs Al Fidaa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadisiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Regar-TadAZ 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fortis 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Borneo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Taiwan Steel 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Taguig 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Kasuka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Hang Yuen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Manila Digger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Play Offs)