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Katwijk vs IJsselmeervogels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sportpark De Krom, Katwijk
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Katwijk host IJsselmeervogels in the Tweede Divisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Katwijk have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against IJsselmeervogels's 1.79 scored and 1.48 conceded. Head-to-head, Katwijk have won 4 to IJsselmeervogels's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.31, favoring Katwijk. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Katwijk
15%
Draws
48%
IJsselmeervogels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IJsselmeervogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • IJsselmeervogels have won more games recently than Katwijk.
  • Model gives Katwijk a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Katwijk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 18%
IJsselmeervogels Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Katwijk IJsselmeervogels
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tweede Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs Katwijk
2:3
Sep 27, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs IJsselmeervogels
3:0
Mar 11, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs IJsselmeervogels
4:0
Sep 24, 2022 Tweede Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs Katwijk
0:0
May 24, 2022 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs IJsselmeervogels
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Katwijk 36 / 100
IJsselmeervogels 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Katwijk IJsselmeervogels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Katwijk scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

IJsselmeervogels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Katwijk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Katwijk VS IJsselmeervogels
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Katwijk

(Home)
03 Oct
Katwijk
1 : 5
Kozakken Boys
26 Sept
AFC
0 : 1
Katwijk
19 Sept
Katwijk
1 : 2
De Treffers
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 6

IJsselmeervogels

(Away)
03 Oct
Hardenberg
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
26 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
3 : 0
Rijnsburgse Boys
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
19 Sept
Rohda Raalte
0 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
05 Sept
VV Kloetinge
0 : 2
IJsselmeervogels
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 8 7 0 1 22:6 21
2 Kozakken Boys 8 5 2 1 23:12 17
3 De Treffers 8 4 3 1 20:9 15
4 Hardenberg 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
5 Barendrecht 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
6 IJsselmeervogels 7 4 1 2 10:5 13
7 Spakenburg 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
8 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 3 2 23:15 12
9 Katwijk 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
10 AFC 8 3 1 4 12:14 10
11 Rijnsburgse Boys 8 3 1 4 15:22 10
12 GVVV 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
13 HSV Hoek 8 2 3 3 11:13 9
14 RKAV Volendam 8 2 3 3 10:17 9
15 Jong Almere City 8 2 1 5 15:17 7
16 Koninklijke HFC 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
17 VV Kloetinge 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
18 Rohda Raalte 8 0 1 7 7:23 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)