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Katwijk vs Jong Excelsior

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Van der Moot D.
25' Event
Doesburg R.
52' Event
Mengerink M.

AI Match Summary

Katwijk in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Katwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Katwijk
20%
Draws
42%
Jong Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jong Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Jong Excelsior have won more games recently than Katwijk.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 16%
Jong Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Katwijk Jong Excelsior
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.84 2.65
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Katwijk vs Jong Excelsior
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Katwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Van der Moot D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doesburg R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Jong Excelsior Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Katwijk 30 / 100
Jong Excelsior 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Katwijk Jong Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Katwijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Katwijk found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Jong Excelsior conceded in 88% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Katwijk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Katwijk VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Katwijk

(Home)
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2
Katwijk
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2
Katwijk
22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
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Jong Excelsior

(Away)
29 Jul
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Excelsior
10 Mar
Jong Cambuur
3 : 4
Jong Excelsior
02 Mar
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Sittard
17 Feb
Jong FC Emmen
4 : 1
Jong Excelsior
03 Feb
Jong Excelsior
3 : 2
Jong Den Bosch
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