Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Katwijk vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Krom, Katwijk
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Zonneveld M.
Assist: Vianello G.
41'
Janmaat F.
45' Event
Korte G.
Assist: Suleiman M.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between Katwijk and Jong Sparta Rotterdam finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Katwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Katwijk
35%
Draws
30%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Katwijk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Katwijk are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Katwijk Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.8 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Katwijk
2:2
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Katwijk vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
May 23, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
4:1
Dec 13, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Katwijk
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Katwijk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Katwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Korte G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Tahiri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Jong Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Zonneveld M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Katwijk 40 / 100
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Katwijk Jong Sparta Rotterdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Katwijk scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Jong Sparta Rotterdam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Katwijk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Katwijk VS Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Katwijk

(Home)
19 Sept
Katwijk
1 : 2
De Treffers
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2
Katwijk
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2
Katwijk
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Jong Sparta Rotterdam

(Away)
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
05 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
2 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
29 Aug
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 3
Hardenberg
22 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 6
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)