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Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Krom
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Hassan M.
Assist: den Besten D.
41'
den Besten D.
46'
Sub
Suleiman M. In: Jesse M.
Out: Suleiman M.

AI Match Summary

Katwijk in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Katwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Katwijk
33%
Draws
27%
Kozakken Boys
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Katwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Katwijk at 2.38 per game, Kozakken Boys at 2.
  • Win probability leans Katwijk's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 10%
Kozakken Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Katwijk Kozakken Boys
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Kozakken Boys vs Katwijk
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys
0:3
Feb 3, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs Kozakken Boys
3:2
Sep 9, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Kozakken Boys vs Katwijk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Katwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Janmaat F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Kozakken Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Katwijk 38 / 100
Kozakken Boys 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Katwijk Kozakken Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Katwijk scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kozakken Boys conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Katwijk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Katwijk VS Kozakken Boys
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys341910569:3566
2De Treffers34189764:3763
3HSV Hoek34196960:3763
4Rijnsburgse Boys341681076:5556
5Hardenberg341751258:4456
6Spakenburg341681072:6056
7Katwijk341571260:5552
8Jong Almere City341551470:6250
9Kozakken Boys341381347:5547
10Jong Sparta Rotterdam341291371:7345
11AFC341291346:5445
12Barendrecht341341762:8443
13RKAV Volendam341331850:6242
14GVVV341261652:6742
15Koninklijke HFC341231933:4939
16IJsselmeervogels34942146:6531
17Excelsior Maassluis34871939:5831
18ACV Assen34791848:7130