Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kavala vs A. Asteras

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023
Kavala Logo

Kavala

4 - 2
FT
A. Asteras Logo

A. Asteras

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 game between Kavala and A. Asteras finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kavala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kavala
20%
Draws
40%
A. Asteras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kavala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kavala taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kavala have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kavala Clean Sheet 20%
A. Asteras Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kavala A. Asteras
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.37 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs Kavala
1:0
Jan 8, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs A. Asteras
4:2
Oct 28, 2009 Greek Cup
A. Asteras vs Kavala
0:3
Mar 14, 2009 Football League
Kavala vs A. Asteras
4:1
Nov 9, 2008 Football League
A. Asteras vs Kavala
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kavala 40 / 100
A. Asteras 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kavala A. Asteras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kavala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Kavala scored in 71% of their last 41 games.

Defensive concern: A. Asteras conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Kavala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kavala VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kavala

(Home)
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
08 Apr
Kampaniakos
2 : 0
Kavala
05 Apr
Kavala
2 : 1
PAOK B
Page 1 of 9

A. Asteras

(Away)
30 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 2
Panthrakikos
23 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 0
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
19 Apr
Chrisoupolis
4 : 1
A. Asteras
08 Apr
A. Asteras
0 : 3
Doxa Dramas
02 Apr
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
A. Asteras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kampaniakos 28 17 8 3 50:19 59
2 Kavala 28 16 7 5 55:23 55
3 Poseidonas Michanionas 28 16 5 7 40:29 53
4 Doxa Dramas 28 14 7 7 52:32 49
5 Apollon Paralimniou 28 13 8 7 49:32 47
6 Panthrakikos 28 13 8 7 44:36 47
7 Chrisoupolis 28 11 8 9 38:34 41
8 Aris Avatou 28 13 2 13 29:35 41
9 Thermaikos FC 28 10 10 8 26:26 40
10 Pandramaikos 28 11 4 13 43:35 37
11 Vyron Kavala 28 7 11 10 36:37 32
12 A. Asteras 28 7 9 12 26:41 30
13 Orfeas Xanthi 28 8 6 14 31:49 30
14 Alexandroupoli FC 28 2 7 19 17:52 13
15 M. Alexandros Orfaniou 28 0 4 24 12:68 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)