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Kavala vs Orfeas Xanthi

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 game between Kavala and Orfeas Xanthi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kavala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kavala
15%
Draws
0%
Orfeas Xanthi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kavala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Orfeas Xanthi haven't matched Kavala's recent run of results.
  • Kavala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kavala Clean Sheet 20%
Orfeas Xanthi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kavala Orfeas Xanthi
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Orfeas Xanthi
3:1
Jan 22, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Orfeas Xanthi vs Kavala
2:2
Feb 17, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Orfeas Xanthi vs Kavala
1:2
Nov 4, 2018 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Orfeas Xanthi
2:0
Mar 18, 2018 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Orfeas Xanthi
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kavala 85 / 100
Orfeas Xanthi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kavala Orfeas Xanthi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kavala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Orfeas Xanthi conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Orfeas Xanthi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Kavala scored in 72% of their last 39 games.

Scoring Trends

Kavala VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kavala

(Home)
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
08 Apr
Kampaniakos
2 : 0
Kavala
05 Apr
Kavala
2 : 1
PAOK B
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Orfeas Xanthi

(Away)
23 Apr
Doxa Dramas
6 : 0
Orfeas Xanthi
19 Apr
Orfeas Xanthi
0 : 1
Aris Avatou
12 Apr
Kavala
3 : 1
Orfeas Xanthi
08 Apr
Orfeas Xanthi
1 : 2
Poseidonas Michanionas
02 Apr
Pandramaikos
5 : 1
Orfeas Xanthi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kampaniakos 28 17 8 3 50:19 59
2 Kavala 28 16 7 5 55:23 55
3 Poseidonas Michanionas 28 16 5 7 40:29 53
4 Doxa Dramas 28 14 7 7 52:32 49
5 Apollon Paralimniou 28 13 8 7 49:32 47
6 Panthrakikos 28 13 8 7 44:36 47
7 Chrisoupolis 28 11 8 9 38:34 41
8 Aris Avatou 28 13 2 13 29:35 41
9 Thermaikos FC 28 10 10 8 26:26 40
10 Pandramaikos 28 11 4 13 43:35 37
11 Vyron Kavala 28 7 11 10 36:37 32
12 A. Asteras 28 7 9 12 26:41 30
13 Orfeas Xanthi 28 8 6 14 31:49 30
14 Alexandroupoli FC 28 2 7 19 17:52 13
15 M. Alexandros Orfaniou 28 0 4 24 12:68 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)