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Kaw Valley vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher

USA USA

USL League Two 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaw Valley play St. Louis Scott Gallagher in the USL League Two 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kaw Valley averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. St. Louis Scott Gallagher averaged 2 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Kaw Valley won 0, St. Louis Scott Gallagher won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2021 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Kaw Valley and 2.44 for St. Louis Scott Gallagher. This points to a St. Louis Scott Gallagher double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kaw Valley
15%
Draws
47%
St. Louis Scott Gallagher
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Louis Scott Gallagher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaw Valley picked up more points recently compared to St. Louis Scott Gallagher.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Kaw Valley Clean Sheet 10%
St. Louis Scott Gallagher Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaw Valley St. Louis Scott Gallagher
Matches Played 27 12
Wins 13 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.85 2
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2021 USL League Two
Kaw Valley vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher
2:3
Jul 2, 2021 USL League Two
Kaw Valley vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher
2:6
Jun 17, 2021 USL League Two
St. Louis Scott Gallagher vs Kaw Valley
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaw Valley 36 / 100
St. Louis Scott Gallagher 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaw Valley St. Louis Scott Gallagher

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. Louis Scott Gallagher or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kaw Valley attacking → ← attacking St. Louis Scott Gallagher

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaw Valley scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

St. Louis Scott Gallagher let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Kaw Valley went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

St. Louis Scott Gallagher lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 20
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25