Sport Picks
Kawasaki Frontale vs Chiba Prediction & H2H Stats
Japan
J1 League Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sub
Romanic L. In: Derik Lacerda
Out: Romanic L.
10'
10'
Derik Lacerda
Assist: Wakizaka Y.
13'
13'
Ito T.
AI Match Summary
Kawasaki Frontale in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kawasaki Frontale.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kawasaki Frontale have won more games recently than Chiba.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Kawasaki Frontale taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Kawasaki Frontale have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 68%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kawasaki Frontale | Chiba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Chiba
4:2
Apr 25, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Chiba
2:1
Feb 15, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Kawasaki Frontale
0:1
Jul 21, 2021 Emperors Cup
Kawasaki Frontale vs Chiba
2:1
Sep 22, 2016 Emperors Cup
Kawasaki Frontale vs Chiba
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kawasaki Frontale Compare
Top Goalscorer Derik Lacerda
1 Goals Assists Leader Ito T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Chiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Tanaka K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kawasaki Frontale 50 / 100
Chiba 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kawasaki Frontale Chiba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kawasaki Frontale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chiba let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Kawasaki Frontale found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Kawasaki Frontale has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kawasaki Frontale VS Chiba
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kawasaki Frontale
(Home) 29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3 Kashima Antlers
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
02 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3 Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
29 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
4 : 2 Chiba
26 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
15 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 2 Kyoto
Page 1 of 3
Chiba
(Away) 29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2 Chiba
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1 Chiba
09 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2 Chiba
06 Sept
Chiba
2 : 0 Gamba Osaka
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2 Chiba
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1 Chiba
09 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2 Chiba
29 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
4 : 2 Chiba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
