Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki
Kawasaki Frontale Logo

Kawasaki Frontale

1 - 2
FT
FC Tokyo Logo

FC Tokyo

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ryan Marcelo
31' Event
Yamahara R.
Assist: Wakizaka Y.
33'
Ito T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Kawasaki Frontale and FC Tokyo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tokyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kawasaki Frontale
39%
Draws
31%
FC Tokyo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tokyo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 15%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kawasaki Frontale FC Tokyo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs FC Tokyo
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale
0:3
Aug 11, 2024 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Kawasaki Frontale
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kawasaki Frontale Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamahara R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Tokyo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan Marcelo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muroya S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kawasaki Frontale 30 / 100
FC Tokyo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kawasaki Frontale FC Tokyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kawasaki Frontale scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

FC Tokyo let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kawasaki Frontale remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kawasaki Frontale VS FC Tokyo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kawasaki Frontale

(Home)
16 Jul
Kawasaki Frontale
0 : 0
Vanraure
06 Jun
Kawasaki Frontale
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
24 May
Mito
1 : 3
Kawasaki Frontale
17 May
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1
Machida Zelvia
Page 1 of 6

FC Tokyo

(Away)
21 Jul
FC Tokyo
2 : 1
Nagoya Grampus
06 Jun
FC Tokyo
1 : 3
Cerezo Osaka
30 May
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 2
FC Tokyo
23 May
Kashima Antlers
1 : 0
FC Tokyo
16 May
Urawa Reds
0 : 1
FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)