Sport Picks
Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki 
Match Events
1'
1'
Mochiyama K.
Assist: Sasaki A.
27'
27'
Fujii T.
40'
40'
Sumiyoshi J.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Kawasaki Frontale and Shimizu S-Pulse finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kawasaki Frontale.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
15%
41%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Kawasaki Frontale's 1.45 goals per match outpaces what Shimizu S-Pulse have produced (1.32).
- Model gives Kawasaki Frontale a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 20%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kawasaki Frontale | Shimizu S-Pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse
5:3
Apr 12, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:1
Apr 19, 2023 J.League Cup
Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse
6:0
Mar 8, 2023 J.League Cup
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kawasaki Frontale Compare
Top Goalscorer da Silva Barbosa M. A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mochiyama K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Shimizu S-Pulse Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kawasaki Frontale 36 / 100
Shimizu S-Pulse 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kawasaki Frontale Shimizu S-Pulse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Kawasaki Frontale remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Kawasaki Frontale scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Shimizu S-Pulse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Kawasaki Frontale VS Shimizu S-Pulse
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kawasaki Frontale
(Home) 07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3 Kashima Antlers
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3 Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
29 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
4 : 2 Chiba
26 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 3
Shimizu S-Pulse
(Away) 07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
22 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
08 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
0 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
