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Kaya FC vs Philippine Army - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL Rizal Memorial Stadium, Manila
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Avanzini S.
12' Event
Rey G.
31'
Soriano J.

AI Match Summary

The PFL game between Kaya FC and Philippine Army finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaya FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kaya FC
15%
Draws
0%
Philippine Army
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaya FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaya FC come out ahead of Philippine Army on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Kaya FC taking it.
  • Regular PFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • Kaya FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kaya FC Clean Sheet 17%
Philippine Army Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaya FC Philippine Army
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 22 0
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 28
Goals Scored 2.68 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.97 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 PFL
Kaya FC vs Philippine Army
5:0
Apr 8, 2026 PFL
Philippine Army vs Kaya FC
0:4
Aug 30, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Philippine Army
12:0
Jun 22, 2024 PFL
Kaya FC vs Philippine Army
6:0
May 30, 2015 PFL
Philippine Army vs Kaya FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaya FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Avanzini S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rey G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.74
Avg xA / game 1.78

Philippine Army Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaya FC 84 / 100
Philippine Army 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaya FC Philippine Army

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaya FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Philippine Army conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Philippine Army registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kaya FC scored in 76% of their last 37 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kaya FC VS Philippine Army
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 5.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaya FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Kaya FC
0 : 1
Manila Digger
27 Sept
Kaya FC
5 : 0
Philippine Army
12 Sept
Tuloy
0 : 3
Kaya FC
06 Sept
Azkals
1 : 3
Kaya FC
30 May
Cebu FC
1 : 0
Kaya FC
Page 1 of 8

Philippine Army

(Away)
04 Oct
Maharlika Manila
5 : 0
Philippine Army
27 Sept
Kaya FC
5 : 0
Philippine Army
20 Sept
Philippine Army
3 : 4
Tuloy
20 May
Don Bosco Garelli
8 : 1
Philippine Army
10 May
Philippine Army
1 : 2
Mendiola FC 1991
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maharlika Manila 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
2 Manila Digger 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
3 Kaya FC 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
4 Davao Aguilas 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
5 Stallion 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
6 Azkals 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
7 Tuloy 5 1 0 4 11:17 3
8 Mendiola FC 1991 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
9 Cebu FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
10 Philippine Army 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)