Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaya FC vs Taguig

Philippines Philippines

PFL Rizal Memorial Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaya FC play Taguig in the PFL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kaya FC averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Taguig averaged 3.88 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. In past meetings, Kaya FC won 3, Taguig won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Kaya FC and 2.06 for Taguig. This points to a Taguig double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kaya FC
15%
Draws
47%
Taguig
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taguig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaya FC picked up more points recently compared to Taguig.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Kaya FC Clean Sheet 10%
Taguig Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaya FC Taguig
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 17 22
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 2.67 3.88
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 PFL
Taguig vs Kaya FC
1:3
Feb 21, 2026 PFL
Kaya FC vs Taguig
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 PFL
Taguig vs Kaya FC
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Taguig
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 PFL
Taguig vs Kaya FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaya FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Taguig Compare

Top Goalscorer Agyemang I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaya FC 36 / 100
Taguig 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaya FC Taguig

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Taguig or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kaya FC attacking → ← attacking Taguig

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaya FC scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Taguig let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Kaya FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Taguig lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 71
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manila Digger201730103:1354
2Taguig20171284:952
3Cebu FC20133470:2142
4Kaya FC20132568:1341
5Stallion2096558:2233
6Davao Aguilas20102845:2832
7Maharlika Manila2092943:3529
8Don Bosco Garelli20501532:7415
9Tuloy20321527:11911
10Mendiola FC 199120211713:997
11Philippine Army20021814:1242