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Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir Prediction & H2H Stats

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Tue, Sep 15, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kayanza United host Aigle Noir in the Primus League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Kayanza United at 1.11 goals for, 1.52 against; Aigle Noir at 1.62 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Kayanza United have won 0 to Aigle Noir's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.69 - 0.94) back Aigle Noir to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kayanza United
35%
Draws
26%
Aigle Noir
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kayanza United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kayanza United haven't matched Aigle Noir's recent run of results.
  • Kayanza United are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aigle Noir here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kayanza United Clean Sheet 20%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayanza United Aigle Noir
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.11 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Kayanza United
8:2
Mar 1, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Kayanza United
5:1
Nov 6, 2024 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayanza United 67 / 100
Aigle Noir 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayanza United Aigle Noir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kayanza United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Aigle Noir let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Kayanza United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Aigle Noir has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kayanza United VS Aigle Noir
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kayanza United

(Home)
27 Sept
Ngozi City
1 : 0
Kayanza United
30 Aug
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Vital'O
19 Aug
Young Star
0 : 0
Kayanza United
16 Aug
Kayanza United
0 : 0
Flambeau du Centre
09 May
Kayanza United
3 : 1
Dynamik
Page 1 of 6

Aigle Noir

(Away)
17 Sept
Vital'O
3 : 2
Aigle Noir
12 Sept
Al-Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
23 Aug
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 4 3 1 0 9:3 10
2 Muzinga 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Ngozi City 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
4 Vital'O 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 Aigle Noir 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
6 Le Messager Ngozi 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
7 Rukinzo 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Olympic Star 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Never Give Up Academy 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 Bumamuru 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
11 Kayanza United 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
12 Flambeau du Centre 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
13 Inter Star 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
14 Panthere Noir 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 Musongati 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
16 Young Star 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)