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Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
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AI Match Summary

The Primus League game between Kayanza United and Aigle Noir finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aigle Noir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kayanza United
39%
Draws
30%
Aigle Noir
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aigle Noir come out ahead of Kayanza United on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aigle Noir here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kayanza United Clean Sheet 16%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayanza United Aigle Noir
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Kayanza United
8:2
Mar 1, 2025 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Kayanza United
5:1
Nov 6, 2024 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir
0:2
Feb 25, 2024 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Aigle Noir
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayanza United 31 / 100
Aigle Noir 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayanza United Aigle Noir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Kayanza United scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Aigle Noir conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kayanza United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kayanza United VS Aigle Noir
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aigle Noir30218162:2571
2Musongati30178542:2159
3Flambeau du Centre30168642:2356
4Royal Vision301721147:3153
5Rukinzo30148849:2850
6Vital'O30148845:2750
7Bumamuru30147947:3349
8Muzinga301110937:3843
9Olympic Star301091136:3539
10Kayanza United308121040:4536
11Le Messager Ngozi30891331:3333
12Ngozi City30891337:4333
13Inter Star30881437:4232
14Dynamik30851735:5829
15Garage Express30391815:6118
16Green Farmers30142525:847