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Kayanza United vs Musongati

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
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AI Match Summary

The Primus League game between Kayanza United and Musongati finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Musongati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Kayanza United
22%
Draws
60%
Musongati
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Musongati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Musongati come out ahead of Kayanza United on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Musongati taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Musongati have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kayanza United Clean Sheet 20%
Musongati Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayanza United Musongati
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Musongati
1:4
Nov 9, 2025 Primus League
Musongati vs Kayanza United
2:2
May 6, 2025 Primus League
Musongati vs Kayanza United
4:1
Aug 25, 2024 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Musongati
0:3
Jan 24, 2024 Primus League
Kayanza United vs Musongati
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayanza United 20 / 100
Musongati 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayanza United Musongati

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Kayanza United scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Kayanza United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Musongati let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kayanza United VS Musongati
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aigle Noir30218162:2571
2Musongati30178542:2159
3Flambeau du Centre30168642:2356
4Royal Vision301721147:3153
5Rukinzo30148849:2850
6Vital'O30148845:2750
7Bumamuru30147947:3349
8Muzinga301110937:3843
9Olympic Star301091136:3539
10Kayanza United308121040:4536
11Le Messager Ngozi30891331:3333
12Ngozi City30891337:4333
13Inter Star30881437:4232
14Dynamik30851735:5829
15Garage Express30391815:6118
16Green Farmers30142525:847