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Kayserispor vs Erciyes 38

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Cardoso M.
34' Event
Cardoso M.
56' Event
Cardoso M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Kayserispor and Erciyes 38 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kayserispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Kayserispor
17%
Draws
70%
Erciyes 38
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erciyes 38 come out ahead of Kayserispor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Erciyes 38 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 10%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayserispor Erciyes 38
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Kayserispor vs Erciyes 38
3:0
Dec 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Kayserispor vs Erciyes 38
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kayserispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardoso M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Erciyes 38 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayserispor 14 / 100
Erciyes 38 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayserispor Erciyes 38

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kayserispor scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Erciyes 38 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kayserispor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kayserispor VS Erciyes 38
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kayserispor

(Home)
19 Jul
Kayserispor
1 : 2
Pendikspor
17 May
Kayserispor
2 : 1
Konyaspor
09 May
Alanyaspor
3 : 1
Kayserispor
03 May
Kayserispor
1 : 1
Eyupspor
25 Apr
Kayserispor
2 : 0
Rizespor
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Erciyes 38

(Away)
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
27 Apr
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Mazidagi
23 Apr
Mazidagi
1 : 1
Erciyes 38
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
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