Sport Picks

Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu

Kayserispor

1 - 0

F. Karagumruk

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Kranevitter M.

46'

Sub

Soyalp F. In: Onugkha G.

Out: Soyalp F.

56'

Sub

Mendes J. In: Makarov D.

Out: Mendes J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kayserispor in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kayserispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Kayserispor

33%

Draws

40%

F. Karagumruk

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: F. Karagumruk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

F. Karagumruk have won more games recently than Kayserispor.
Win probability leans F. Karagumruk's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular Super Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Kayserispor Clean Sheet 16%

F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kayserispor	F. Karagumruk
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	8	10
Draws	8	8
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0.75	1
Goals Conceded	1.88	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Super Lig

Kayserispor vs F. Karagumruk

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Oct 24, 2025 Super Lig

F. Karagumruk vs Kayserispor

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

May 4, 2024 Super Lig

Kayserispor vs F. Karagumruk

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Jan 10, 2024 Super Lig

F. Karagumruk vs Kayserispor

Possession: 52% - 40% Cards: 3 - 4

4:1

May 30, 2023 Super Lig

F. Karagumruk vs Kayserispor

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kayserispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Onugkha G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

F. Karagumruk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayserispor 28 / 100

F. Karagumruk 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kayserispor F. Karagumruk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Kayserispor found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

F. Karagumruk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Kayserispor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kayserispor VS F. Karagumruk

0.75 Goals Scored 1

1.88 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	34	24	5	5	77:30	77
2	Fenerbahce	34	21	11	2	77:37	74
3	Trabzonspor	34	20	9	5	61:39	69
4	Besiktas	34	17	9	8	59:40	60
5	Basaksehir	34	16	9	9	58:35	57
6	Goztepe	34	14	13	7	42:32	55
7	Samsunspor	34	13	12	9	46:45	51
8	Rizespor	34	10	11	13	46:52	41
9	Konyaspor	34	10	10	14	43:50	40
10	Kocaelispor	34	9	10	15	26:38	37
11	Alanyaspor	34	7	16	11	41:41	37
12	Gaziantep	34	9	10	15	43:58	37
13	Kasimpasa	34	8	11	15	33:49	35
14	Genclerbirligi	34	9	7	18	36:47	34
15	Eyupspor	34	8	9	17	33:48	33
16	Antalyaspor	34	8	8	18	33:55	32
17	Kayserispor	34	6	12	16	27:62	30
18	F. Karagumruk	34	8	6	20	31:54	30