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Kayserispor vs Fenerbahce

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Oosterwolde J.
32'
Makarov D.
33'
Ederson

AI Match Summary

Kayserispor host Fenerbahce in the Super Lig 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Kayserispor have averaged 0.75 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Fenerbahce's 2.13 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Fenerbahce slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 2.00) point toward Fenerbahce. Fenerbahce in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kayserispor
6%
Draws
90%
Fenerbahce
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fenerbahce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fenerbahce has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kayserispor.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Fenerbahce.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super Lig 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 10%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kayserispor Fenerbahce
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Super Lig
Kayserispor vs Fenerbahce
0:4
Nov 9, 2025 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Kayserispor
4:2
Apr 20, 2025 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Kayserispor
3:3
Nov 23, 2024 Super Lig
Kayserispor vs Fenerbahce
2:6
May 12, 2024 Super Lig
Fenerbahce vs Kayserispor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kayserispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Talisca A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kante N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayserispor 10 / 100
Fenerbahce 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kayserispor Fenerbahce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kayserispor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Fenerbahce let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Kayserispor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fenerbahce lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kayserispor VS Fenerbahce
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430