Sport Picks

Turkey

Super Lig RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu

Trabzonspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kayserispor play Trabzonspor in the Super Lig. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kayserispor averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Trabzonspor averaged 2 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Kayserispor won 0, Trabzonspor won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 9, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Kayserispor and 1.56 for Trabzonspor. This points to a Trabzonspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Kayserispor

27%

Draws

49%

Trabzonspor

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Trabzonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Kayserispor picked up more points recently compared to Trabzonspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Kayserispor Clean Sheet 15%

Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kayserispor	Trabzonspor
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	19
Draws	8	5
Losses	14	6
Goals Scored	0.87	2
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Super Lig

Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

Oct 3, 2025 Super Lig

Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

4:0

Feb 1, 2025 Super Lig

Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Sep 19, 2024 Super Lig

Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Apr 20, 2024 Super Lig

Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kayserispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Onugkha G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Trabzonspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Onuachu P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kayserispor 25 / 100

Trabzonspor 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kayserispor Trabzonspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Trabzonspor or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kayserispor attacking → ← attacking Trabzonspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kayserispor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Trabzonspor let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kayserispor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Trabzonspor lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 62

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	34	24	5	5	77:30	77
2	Fenerbahce	34	21	11	2	77:37	74
3	Trabzonspor	34	20	9	5	61:39	69
4	Besiktas	34	17	9	8	59:40	60
5	Basaksehir	34	16	9	9	58:35	57
6	Goztepe	34	14	13	7	42:32	55
7	Samsunspor	34	13	12	9	46:45	51
8	Rizespor	34	10	11	13	46:52	41
9	Konyaspor	34	10	10	14	43:50	40
10	Kocaelispor	34	9	10	15	26:38	37
11	Alanyaspor	34	7	16	11	41:41	37
12	Gaziantep	34	9	10	15	43:58	37
13	Kasimpasa	34	8	11	15	33:49	35
14	Genclerbirligi	34	9	7	18	36:47	34
15	Eyupspor	34	8	9	17	33:48	33
16	Antalyaspor	34	8	8	18	33:55	32
17	Kayserispor	34	6	12	16	27:62	30
18	F. Karagumruk	34	8	6	20	31:54	30