Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kazakhmys vs Ertis Pavlodar 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kazakhmys in this First Division 2006 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kazakhmys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kazakhmys
39%
Draws
31%
Ertis Pavlodar 2
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kazakhmys lately — more wins on the board than Ertis Pavlodar 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kazakhmys have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kazakhmys Clean Sheet 16%
Ertis Pavlodar 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kazakhmys Ertis Pavlodar 2
Matches Played 41 35
Wins 24 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 3.75 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2007 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Kazakhmys
1:4
May 24, 2007 First League
Kazakhmys vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
3:1
Aug 16, 2006 First League
Kazakhmys vs Ertis Pavlodar 2
1:0
Jul 12, 2006 First League
Ertis Pavlodar 2 vs Kazakhmys
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kazakhmys 30 / 100
Ertis Pavlodar 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kazakhmys Ertis Pavlodar 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kazakhmys scored in 80% of their last 41 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ertis Pavlodar 2 let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Kazakhmys has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kazakhmys VS -
3.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zhetysu Taldykorgan262510119:1476
2Kaspij Aktau26193463:2060
3Gornyak Khromtay26171840:2552
4Cesna Almaty26164664:3052
5Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty26155639:2550
6Akzhayik Uralsk26161956:3149
7Zhambyl Taraz2698935:3035
8Aktobe 2261031343:5033
9Munaily Atyrau26671325:4825
10Ordabasy 226731634:6524
11Koksu26621832:5920
12AI-Universitet26541729:5719
13Kaisar Kyzylorda 226431923:7115
14Zhastar Uralsk26332012:8912
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avangard Petropavlovsk24163539:1951
2Asbest Zitikara24155437:1750
3Shakhter Karagandy 224128425:1244
4Spartak Semey24127546:2543
5Kazakhmys24125736:3541
6Shakhter Yunost24115841:2538
7Aksu24106832:2836
8Ertis Pavlodar 2241041038:2834
9Rakhat Astana2496927:2633
10Vostok Oskemen 224951033:3732
11Tobol 224441620:4116
12Energetik Pavlodar 224421817:4714
13Batyr Ekibastuz24202213:646