Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2010

Gefest Karagandy

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kazakhmys play Gefest Karagandy in the First Division 2010. Kazakhmys are favorites here. Recently, Kazakhmys averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Gefest Karagandy averaged 0.86 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. In past meetings, Kazakhmys won 2, Gefest Karagandy won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 18, 2010 ended 8:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Kazakhmys and 0.93 for Gefest Karagandy. This points to a Kazakhmys double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Kazakhmys

15%

Draws

23%

Gefest Karagandy

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kazakhmys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Kazakhmys picked up more points recently compared to Gefest Karagandy.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Kazakhmys Clean Sheet 24%

Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kazakhmys	Gefest Karagandy
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	16	10
Draws	4	3
Losses	10	23
Goals Scored	2.37	0.86
Goals Conceded	1.33	2.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2010 First League

Kazakhmys vs Gefest Karagandy

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

8:1

Jul 6, 2010 First League

Gefest Karagandy vs Kazakhmys

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kazakhmys 61 / 100

Gefest Karagandy 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kazakhmys Gefest Karagandy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kazakhmys Win (1)

Secondary Pick Kazakhmys & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kazakhmys attacking → ← attacking Gefest Karagandy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kazakhmys scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Gefest Karagandy let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

Kazakhmys went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gefest Karagandy lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 33

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vostok Oskemen	34	27	6	1	91:15	87
2	Kaisar Kyzylorda	34	25	6	3	74:23	81
3	Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan	34	22	7	5	73:28	73
4	Spartak Semey	34	19	7	8	68:40	64
5	Ile-Saulet	34	18	9	7	73:38	63
6	Cesna Almaty	34	18	5	11	56:34	59
7	Kazakhmys	34	17	6	11	80:45	57
8	Ak Bulak	34	14	9	11	48:39	51
9	FC Ekibastuz	34	14	9	11	44:37	51
10	Kyzylzhar	34	14	4	16	44:57	46
11	Taraz-Karatau 2	34	12	8	14	46:54	44
12	Aktobe 2	34	13	4	17	40:66	43
13	Gefest Karagandy	34	12	2	20	52:83	38
14	Shakhter Karagandy 2	34	10	8	16	44:58	38
15	Zhenis	34	9	4	21	41:75	31
16	Kaspij Aktau	34	5	5	24	40:79	20
17	CSKA Almaty	34	5	3	26	32:76	18
18	Asbest Zitikara	34	0	2	32	11:110	2