Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kazakhstan U21 vs Spain U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Astana Arena, Astana
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Fermín
38'
Sadybekov A.
38'
Carreras A.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Kazakhstan U21 and Spain U21 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kazakhstan U21
6%
Draws
90%
Spain U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kazakhstan U21 haven't matched Spain U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Spain U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spain U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Kazakhstan U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kazakhstan U21 Spain U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.5 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Kazakhstan U21
4:3
Oct 17, 2023 Euro U21
Kazakhstan U21 vs Spain U21
0:4
Oct 13, 2020 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Kazakhstan U21
3:0
Sep 6, 2019 Euro U21
Kazakhstan U21 vs Spain U21
0:1
Sep 5, 2008 Euro U21
Kazakhstan U21 vs Spain U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kazakhstan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Spain U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fermín
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kazakhstan U21 10 / 100
Spain U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kazakhstan U21 Spain U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Kazakhstan U21 found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Spain U21 has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Kazakhstan U21 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kazakhstan U21 VS Spain U21
0.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kazakhstan U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 1
Kazakhstan U21
05 Jun
Belarus U21
2 : 0
Kazakhstan U21
31 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
0 : 1
Ireland U21
27 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 3
Slovakia U21
17 Nov
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
Page 1 of 6

Spain U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Spain U21
2 : 0
Kosovo U21
27 Mar
Cyprus U21
0 : 7
Spain U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
14 Oct
Spain U21
2 : 1
Finland U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U211064027:422
2Norway U211061328:1119
3Ireland U211054124:1219
4Turkey U211041521:1513
5Latvia U211032510:1811
6San Marino U211000101:510
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U211091028:528
2Belgium U211061313:619
3Scotland U211051419:1116
4Hungary U211051412:816
5Kazakhstan U211030713:249
6Malta U211000104:350
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U2110100032:330
2Georgia U211061314:1019
3Sweden U211052325:1017
4North Macedonia U21104068:1512
5Moldova U21102177:207
6Gibraltar U21101093:313
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U211082035:1026
2Poland U211071224:1022
3Bulgaria U211043317:1215
4Kosovo U211033410:1712
5Estonia U21102177:317
6Israel U21101095:183
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Romania U211071223:1022
2Finland U211062221:820
3Switzerland U211053221:1218
4Albania U211051412:1716
5Montenegro U21102178:197
6Armenia U21100282:212
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U211081141:625
2Ukraine U211080220:724
3Serbia U211051413:1816
4Northern Ireland U211032510:1011
5Luxembourg U21102266:238
6Azerbaijan U21101094:303
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U211090133:627
2Croatia U211071220:1422
3Greece U211052316:1017
4Faroe Islands U211031611:2410
5Belarus U21101366:206
6Andorra U21100374:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovenia U21852113:717
2France U21851222:616
3Austria U21843112:615
4Cyprus U2181257:235
5Bosnia & Herzegovina U2181075:173
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U21852118:817
2Czech Republic U21842213:1114
3Wales U21842213:1114
4Iceland U2183059:149
5Lithuania U2181077:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)