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Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Astana Arena, Astana
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Match Events

22' Event
Knudsen P.
Assist: Bjartalid J.
38'
Samorodov M.
46'
Sub
Basmanov S. In: Vorogovskiy Y.
Out: Basmanov S.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Kazakhstan
35%
Draws
51%
Faroe Islands
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Faroe Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kazakhstan haven't matched Faroe Islands's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kazakhstan Clean Sheet 26%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kazakhstan Faroe Islands
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands
2:2
Sep 26, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan
1:1
Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan
1:0
Oct 11, 2013 World Championship
Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan
1:1
Sep 6, 2013 World Championship
Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kazakhstan Compare

Top Goalscorer Maliy S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alip N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Faroe Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Knudsen P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turi G. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kazakhstan 33 / 100
Faroe Islands 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kazakhstan Faroe Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Faroe Islands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kazakhstan scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Faroe Islands conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kazakhstan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kazakhstan VS Faroe Islands
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kazakhstan

(Home)
06 Oct
Kazakhstan
2 : 2
Faroe Islands
02 Oct
Kazakhstan
1 : 2
Moldova
29 Sept
Slovakia
2 : 1
Kazakhstan
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
Page 1 of 6

Faroe Islands

(Away)
06 Oct
Kazakhstan
2 : 2
Faroe Islands
02 Oct
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Slovakia
29 Sept
Moldova
1 : 1
Faroe Islands
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)