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Kazakhstan vs Turkmenistan Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Chesnokov I.
47' Event
Zuev A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kazakhstan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kazakhstan
20%
Draws
44%
Turkmenistan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turkmenistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Kazakhstan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Turkmenistan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kazakhstan have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kazakhstan Clean Sheet 20%
Turkmenistan Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kazakhstan Turkmenistan
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 6 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.89 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2024 Friendly International
Kazakhstan vs Turkmenistan
2:0
Mar 7, 2007 Friendly International
Kazakhstan vs Turkmenistan
2:0
Apr 15, 1994 Friendly International
Kazakhstan vs Turkmenistan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kazakhstan Compare

Top Goalscorer Chesnokov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zuev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Turkmenistan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kazakhstan 28 / 100
Turkmenistan 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kazakhstan Turkmenistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turkmenistan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkmenistan has conceded goals in 96% of their last 26 outings.

Kazakhstan scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Kazakhstan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Turkmenistan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kazakhstan VS Turkmenistan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
63% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Kazakhstan

(Home)
29 Sept
Slovakia
2 : 1
Kazakhstan
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
06 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0
Comoros
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Turkmenistan

(Away)
31 Mar
Thailand
2 : 1
Turkmenistan
18 Nov
Turkmenistan
3 : 1
Chinese Taipei
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
05 Sept
Turkmenistan
1 : 2
Oman
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