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KCB vs Mathare United

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Fri, Sep 4, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KCB host Mathare United in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Mathare United have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while KCB have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, KCB have won 1 to Mathare United's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.88) point toward KCB. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
KCB
15%
Draws
46%
Mathare United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mathare United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • KCB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans KCB's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
KCB Clean Sheet 20%
Mathare United Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KCB Mathare United
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Premier League
KCB vs Mathare United
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Mathare United vs KCB
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
KCB vs Mathare United
0:1
Feb 26, 2025 Premier League
KCB vs Mathare United
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Premier League
Mathare United vs KCB
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KCB 36 / 100
Mathare United 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KCB Mathare United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KCB's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mathare United let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

KCB went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KCB VS Mathare United
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

KCB

(Home)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2
KCB
23 May
KCB
0 : 1
Posta Rangers
16 May
Tusker
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 6

Mathare United

(Away)
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1
Mathare United
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1
Mathare United
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2
Mathare United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)