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KCB vs Mombasa United

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2026/2027
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KCB host Mombasa United in the Premier League 2026/2027. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: KCB at 1.14 goals for, 1.14 against; Mombasa United at 1.46 for, 0.69 against. Head-to-head, KCB have won 0 to Mombasa United's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 0.81, favoring Mombasa United. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
KCB
20%
Draws
46%
Mombasa United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mombasa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mombasa United come out ahead of KCB on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2026/2027 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
KCB Clean Sheet 20%
Mombasa United Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KCB Mombasa United
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League
KCB vs Mombasa United
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KCB 32 / 100
Mombasa United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KCB Mombasa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KCB found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Mombasa United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

KCB has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KCB VS Mombasa United
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KCB

(Home)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2
KCB
23 May
KCB
0 : 1
Posta Rangers
16 May
Tusker
1 : 0
KCB
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Mombasa United

(Away)
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0
3K FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1
Mombasa United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)