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KDV Tomsk vs Dynamo Barnaul

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Reyz A.
52' Event
Volnov I.
84' Event
Bolshunov D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between KDV Tomsk and Dynamo Barnaul finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KDV Tomsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
KDV Tomsk
15%
Draws
34%
Dynamo Barnaul
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KDV Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • KDV Tomsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KDV Tomsk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 10%
Dynamo Barnaul Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KDV Tomsk Dynamo Barnaul
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs KDV Tomsk
1:2
Jul 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs KDV Tomsk
0:2
May 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Dynamo Barnaul
3:1
Aug 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Dynamo Barnaul
2:0
May 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs KDV Tomsk
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KDV Tomsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Volnov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bolshunov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dynamo Barnaul Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KDV Tomsk 34 / 100
Dynamo Barnaul 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KDV Tomsk Dynamo Barnaul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Barnaul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KDV Tomsk scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Dynamo Barnaul let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: Dynamo Barnaul registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KDV Tomsk VS Dynamo Barnaul
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KDV Tomsk

(Home)
14 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 2
KDV Tomsk
06 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1
KDV Tomsk
30 Aug
KDV Tomsk
0 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
26 Aug
KDV Tomsk
2 : 4
FC Chertanovo Moscow
23 Aug
KDV Tomsk
1 : 0
Khimik
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Dynamo Barnaul

(Away)
14 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 2
KDV Tomsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2
Chelyabinsk
06 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti 2
30 Aug
Khimik
3 : 0
Dynamo Barnaul
27 Aug
Dynamo Barnaul
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khimik 22 18 2 2 57:16 56
2 KDV Tomsk 22 17 2 3 40:20 53
3 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 22 13 4 5 51:33 43
4 Akron Togliatti 2 22 10 2 10 46:34 32
5 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 22 6 9 7 25:26 27
6 Dynamo Barnaul 22 7 5 10 31:50 26
7 Orenburg 2 22 6 8 8 31:35 26
8 FK Izhevsk 22 5 8 9 30:32 23
9 Ural 2 22 5 7 10 34:44 22
10 Rubin Kazan 2 22 4 8 10 25:35 20
11 Nosta 22 4 6 12 20:48 18
12 Chelyabinsk 2 22 4 5 13 19:36 17
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)