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KDV Tomsk vs Dynamo Barnaul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KDV Tomsk host Dynamo Barnaul in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. KDV Tomsk have averaged 1.81 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Dynamo Barnaul's 1.41 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, KDV Tomsk have won 4 to Dynamo Barnaul's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.81, favoring KDV Tomsk. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
KDV Tomsk
15%
Draws
26%
Dynamo Barnaul
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KDV Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • KDV Tomsk have won more games recently than Dynamo Barnaul.
  • Model gives KDV Tomsk a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • KDV Tomsk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 11%
Dynamo Barnaul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KDV Tomsk Dynamo Barnaul
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 23 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.81 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs KDV Tomsk
1:2
Jul 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs KDV Tomsk
0:2
May 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Dynamo Barnaul
3:1
Aug 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Dynamo Barnaul
2:0
May 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs KDV Tomsk
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KDV Tomsk 56 / 100
Dynamo Barnaul 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KDV Tomsk Dynamo Barnaul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KDV Tomsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KDV Tomsk scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Dynamo Barnaul let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

KDV Tomsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KDV Tomsk VS Dynamo Barnaul
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KDV Tomsk

(Home)
04 Oct
KDV Tomsk
0 : 2
Khimik
27 Sept
Akron Togliatti 2
0 : 1
KDV Tomsk
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
14 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 2
KDV Tomsk
06 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1
KDV Tomsk
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Dynamo Barnaul

(Away)
04 Oct
Akron Togliatti 2
2 : 0
Dynamo Barnaul
25 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
2 : 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
20 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
1 : 2
Dynamo Barnaul
14 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 2
KDV Tomsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2
Chelyabinsk
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