Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KDV Tomsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Matskharashvili N.
59' Event
Simdyankin N.
62' Event
Dunay V.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between KDV Tomsk and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KDV Tomsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
KDV Tomsk
15%
Draws
26%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KDV Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KDV Tomsk come out ahead of Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod on wins alone.
  • Model gives KDV Tomsk a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors KDV Tomsk here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 16%
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KDV Tomsk Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 22 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
2:1
Jun 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs KDV Tomsk
4:0
Apr 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KDV Tomsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Matskharashvili N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simdyankin N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunay V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KDV Tomsk 57 / 100
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KDV Tomsk Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KDV Tomsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KDV Tomsk scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

KDV Tomsk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KDV Tomsk VS Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KDV Tomsk

(Home)
04 Oct
KDV Tomsk
0 : 2
Khimik
27 Sept
Akron Togliatti 2
0 : 1
KDV Tomsk
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
14 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 2
KDV Tomsk
06 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1
KDV Tomsk
Page 1 of 7

Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod

(Away)
04 Oct
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1 : 2
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
25 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
2 : 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
13 Sept
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0 : 1
Khimik
06 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
0 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
Page 1 of 6