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Stadium Background

KDV Tomsk vs Ural 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Korotaev A.
38' Event
Kondrakov D.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Korotaev A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between KDV Tomsk and Ural 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KDV Tomsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
KDV Tomsk
15%
Draws
46%
Ural 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ural 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • KDV Tomsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • KDV Tomsk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 16%
Ural 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KDV Tomsk Ural 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 6
Draws 2 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Ural 2
4:1
Apr 19, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Ural 2 vs KDV Tomsk
0:2
Jul 30, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Ural 2
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Ural 2 vs KDV Tomsk
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KDV Tomsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Korotaev A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ural 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gazhalov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KDV Tomsk 31 / 100
Ural 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KDV Tomsk Ural 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KDV Tomsk scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Ural 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: KDV Tomsk stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KDV Tomsk VS Ural 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KDV Tomsk

(Home)
20 Sept
KDV Tomsk
2 : 1
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
14 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 2
KDV Tomsk
06 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1
KDV Tomsk
30 Aug
KDV Tomsk
0 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
26 Aug
KDV Tomsk
2 : 4
FC Chertanovo Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Ural 2

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Izhevsk
2 : 1
Ural 2
13 Sept
Ural 2
1 : 1
Orenburg 2
06 Sept
Nosta
0 : 1
Ural 2
30 Aug
Ural 2
2 : 3
Rubin Kazan 2
23 Aug
Rubin Kazan 2
1 : 2
Ural 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khimik 22 18 2 2 57:16 56
2 KDV Tomsk 22 17 2 3 40:20 53
3 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 22 13 4 5 51:33 43
4 Akron Togliatti 2 22 10 2 10 46:34 32
5 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 22 6 9 7 25:26 27
6 Dynamo Barnaul 22 7 5 10 31:50 26
7 Orenburg 2 22 6 8 8 31:35 26
8 FK Izhevsk 22 5 8 9 30:32 23
9 Ural 2 22 5 7 10 34:44 22
10 Rubin Kazan 2 22 4 8 10 25:35 20
11 Nosta 22 4 6 12 20:48 18
12 Chelyabinsk 2 22 4 5 13 19:36 17
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)