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Kebbi vs Road Safety FC

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kebbi play Road Safety FC in the NNL 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kebbi averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Road Safety FC averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Kebbi won 3, Road Safety FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2022 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Kebbi and 1.19 for Road Safety FC. This points to a Kebbi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Kebbi
15%
Draws
33%
Road Safety FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kebbi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Kebbi picked up more points recently compared to Road Safety FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Kebbi Clean Sheet 20%
Road Safety FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kebbi Road Safety FC
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.22 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 NNL
Road Safety FC vs Kebbi
2:4
Apr 2, 2022 NNL
Kebbi vs Road Safety FC
1:0
May 29, 2021 NNL
Kebbi vs Road Safety FC
4:1
Mar 13, 2021 NNL
Road Safety FC vs Kebbi
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kebbi 51 / 100
Road Safety FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kebbi Road Safety FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kebbi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kebbi attacking → ← attacking Road Safety FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kebbi scored in 64% of their last 45 games.

Road Safety FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Kebbi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Road Safety FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 35
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

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