Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Keciorengucu vs Gaziantep

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026 Aktepe Stadium, Ankara
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lungoyi C.
6' Event
Akman A.
(Penalty)
21'
Ozcicek O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Gaziantep advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Keciorengucu
35%
Draws
31%
Gaziantep
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Keciorengucu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Keciorengucu's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Keciorengucu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gaziantep, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Gaziantep have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Keciorengucu Clean Sheet 18%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keciorengucu Gaziantep
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Turkish Cup
Keciorengucu vs Gaziantep
1:5
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Gaziantep vs Keciorengucu
2:1
Sep 27, 2012 Turkish Cup
Gaziantep vs Keciorengucu
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keciorengucu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Gaziantep Compare

Top Goalscorer Lungoyi C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sangare N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keciorengucu 49 / 100
Gaziantep 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keciorengucu Gaziantep

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keciorengucu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keciorengucu scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Keciorengucu went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Gaziantep conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Keciorengucu VS Gaziantep
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Keciorengucu

(Home)
12 Sept
Vanspor FK
1 : 1
Keciorengucu
05 Sept
Keciorengucu
3 : 0
Sariyer
01 Sept
Boluspor
0 : 2
Keciorengucu
28 Aug
Keciorengucu
2 : 2
Umraniyespor
23 Aug
Bandirmaspor
1 : 1
Keciorengucu
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Gaziantep

(Away)
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4
Gaziantep
29 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 2
Rizespor
23 Aug
Eyupspor
0 : 1
Gaziantep
15 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 1
Alanyaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Trabzonspor 4 3 0 1 13:4 9
3 Alanyaspor 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Basaksehir 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 F. Karagumruk 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
6 Boluspor 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
7 Istanbulspor AS 4 0 2 2 2:9 2
8 Fethiyespor 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Samsunspor 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Konyaspor 4 4 0 0 9:1 12
3 Genclerbirligi 4 3 1 0 9:5 10
4 Igdir FK 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
5 Eyupspor 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
6 Bodrumspor 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
7 Aliaga 4 0 1 3 5:16 1
8 Antalyaspor 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Besiktas 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
2 Fenerbahce 4 3 0 1 9:3 9
3 Erzurumspor FK 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
4 Gaziantep 4 2 0 2 8:10 6
5 Kocaelispor 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
6 Rizespor 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
7 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
8 Keciorengucu 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Turkish Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams