Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig Aktepe Stadium

Hatayspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Keciorengucu play Hatayspor in the 1. Lig. Keciorengucu are favorites here. Recently, Keciorengucu averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Hatayspor averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. In past meetings, Keciorengucu won 3, Hatayspor won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 11, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Keciorengucu and 0.88 for Hatayspor. This points to a Keciorengucu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%

Keciorengucu

15%

Draws

14%

Hatayspor

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keciorengucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Keciorengucu picked up more points recently compared to Hatayspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Keciorengucu Clean Sheet 25%

Hatayspor Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Keciorengucu	Hatayspor
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	16	2
Draws	6	5
Losses	11	23
Goals Scored	2.06	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.33	2.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 1. Lig

Keciorengucu vs Hatayspor

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 4 - 3

5:0

Aug 9, 2025 1. Lig

Hatayspor vs Keciorengucu

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Jul 5, 2020 1. Lig

Hatayspor vs Keciorengucu

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Dec 15, 2019 1. Lig

Keciorengucu vs Hatayspor

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Jan 28, 2018 2. Lig Red Group

Hatayspor vs Keciorengucu

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keciorengucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Diouf M.

4 Goals

Assists Leader Ezeh F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Hatayspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keciorengucu 69 / 100

Hatayspor 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Keciorengucu Hatayspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keciorengucu Win (1)

Secondary Pick Keciorengucu & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.9%

1.59

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Keciorengucu attacking → ← attacking Hatayspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keciorengucu scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Hatayspor let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Keciorengucu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hatayspor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 11

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54