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Keciorengucu vs Kayserispor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Aktepe Stadium
Tue, Dec 2, 2025
2 - 0
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Keciorengucu play Kayserispor in the Turkish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Keciorengucu averaged 2 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Kayserispor averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Keciorengucu won 1, Kayserispor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 2, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Keciorengucu and 0.75 for Kayserispor. This points to a Keciorengucu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Keciorengucu
26%
Draws
29%
Kayserispor
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Keciorengucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Keciorengucu picked up more points recently compared to Kayserispor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Keciorengucu Clean Sheet 27%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keciorengucu Kayserispor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 Turkish Cup
Keciorengucu vs Kayserispor
2:0
Mar 8, 1992 1. Lig
Kayserispor vs Keciorengucu
4:0
Oct 13, 1991 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Kayserispor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keciorengucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Bulut H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roshi O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kayserispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keciorengucu 46 / 100
Kayserispor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keciorengucu Kayserispor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Keciorengucu or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Keciorengucu attacking → ← attacking Kayserispor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keciorengucu scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Kayserispor let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Keciorengucu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kayserispor lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 32
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88