Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2025/2026 Széktói Stadion, Kecskemét
Sun, Sep 14, 2025
3 - 2
02:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Derekas Z.
9' Event
Horvath K.
38' Event
Szabo A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Kecskemeti TE advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Kecskemeti TE
30%
Draws
27%
Ujpest
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kecskemeti TE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Kecskemeti TE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kecskemeti TE are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Kecskemeti TE have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ujpest, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kecskemeti TE Clean Sheet 12%
Ujpest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kecskemeti TE Ujpest
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest
3:2
Apr 21, 2025 NB I.
Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 NB I.
Ujpest vs Kecskemeti TE
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 NB I.
Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest
1:3
May 10, 2024 NB I.
Ujpest vs Kecskemeti TE
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kecskemeti TE Compare

Top Goalscorer Derekas Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szabo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ujpest Compare

Top Goalscorer Horvath K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medeiros I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kecskemeti TE 74 / 100
Ujpest 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kecskemeti TE Ujpest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kecskemeti TE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kecskemeti TE scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ujpest conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Kecskemeti TE has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kecskemeti TE VS Ujpest
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kecskemeti TE

(Home)
05 Sept
Kazincbarcika
2 : 2
Kecskemeti TE
29 Aug
Kecskemeti TE
3 : 0
Kozarmisleny SE
22 Aug
Gyirmot FC Gyor
1 : 4
Kecskemeti TE
15 Aug
Kecskemeti TE
2 : 1
Videoton
08 Aug
BVSC-Zuglo
0 : 1
Kecskemeti TE
Page 1 of 6

Ujpest

(Away)
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Ujpest
29 Aug
Ujpest
3 : 1
Vasas
21 Aug
Paks
2 : 0
Ujpest
15 Aug
Ujpest
1 : 1
MTK Budapest
08 Aug
Kisvarda FC
2 : 4
Ujpest
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Hodoscsepanyi SE 1
Gyulahaza 0
Salgotarjani BTC 3
Marshall-Andornaktalya SE 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Karancslapujto 0
Senyo 3
Tarpa 3
Tiszaujvaros 1
Villanyi 1
Kelen 2
Bonyhad 0
Dunaujvaros 8
TFSE-Tent Budapest 0
Ivancsa 3
Penzugyor SE 2
Szekszardi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Sarisapi Banyasz 5
Teskand 0
Szarvaskend 2
Zalaszentgroti 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
REAC 3
FC Dabas 2
Janoshalmi 0
Tiszafoldvar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karcagi -
Kiraly SE 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor 4
Sopron 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Nagybajom 0
Kaposvar 4
Szepetnek 0
Erdi 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Tatai 2
Koppanymonostori SE 3
Sarvari FC 5
Zalalovoi 3
Dunakeszi 0
Pilisi 2
Issimo 4
Kiskunfelegyhaza TSI 0
Mohacsi 2
Toponar 0
Komloi 1
Majosi 3
Paszto SK-Real-Immo Sport 1
Godollo 4
MVSC 1
Ozd-Sajovolgye 4
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Moragyi SE 2
Airnergy FC 1
Fonix Gold 1
Siofok 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Szegedi 0
Gyulai Termal 4
Csepel 2
Monori 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Kecskemeti TE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Jaszfenyszarui 0
Hatvan FC 5
Hajduszoboszloi 1
Tiszafuredi 5
Nyirmeggyes SK 3
CSO-Ki Sport 5
Unicum FC Mohora 1
Putnok VSE 4
Devecser 1
Bicskei 10
Csesztreg 0
VSC Veszprem 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Bony 1
Ujperint SE 0
Mori SE 4
Urkut 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Dombovari LK 0
Budaorsi SC 2
Bajai 0
Nagykanizsa FC 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Szolnoki MAV 3
Jamina SE 1
OMTK-ULE 3
Dunaharaszti MTK 7
Bordany SK 2
Makoi 1
Rackeve 0
ESMTK Budapest 7
Martely SK 0
Epitok 1
Mezoturi 0
Martfui LSE 3
Harkany SE 1
Sarbogard 3
Dunafoldvar 1
Dombovari 8
Mezomegyer 2
Szajol 4
Solti FC 1
Rakoczifalva 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Mezoberenyi LE 0
Sandorfalvi 3
Sarreti 1
Hodmezovasarhely 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Soproni FAC 0
Intretech Kapuvari SE 4
Menfocsanak 1
Dorogi FC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezokeresztes 0
Mateszalkai MTK 4
Tallya 1
Vasarosnameny SE 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sajobabony Vegyesz 1
Csenger 0
Gyongyosi 0
Eger 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Koronco 0
Mezoors 1
Tihanyi 1
Haladas VSE 6
Balatonalmadi 5
Kormendi 0
Komaromi VSE 6
Papai Perutz 4
Nagyatadi 3
Balatonlelle 2
GA Gyogyfurdo 1
Pecsi MFC 10
Patak FC 0
Debreceni EAC 14
Hajdusamsoni 0
Cigand SE 2
Hevesi 2
Ujfeherto 4
Monostorpalyi 1
Fuzesabony 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Mezofalva 0
Lajoskomarom 2
Unione 2
PTE-PEAC 4
Vecsesi 1
III. Keruleti TVE 2
Kiskorosi 0
BKV Elore 3
Nyergesujfalu 2
Celldomolki Vse 0
Balatonfuredi 2
Tatabanya 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soroksar -
1/64-finals
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Hodoscsepanyi SE 0
Salgotarjani BTC 3
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Senyo 0
Tarpa 4
Kelen 1
Dunaujvaros 0
Ivancsa 2
Penzugyor SE 1
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Sarisapi Banyasz 1
Szarvaskend 2
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
REAC 1
Tiszafoldvar 0
TBD -
Karcagi -
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
TBD -
Csakvari -
Kaposvar 2
Erdi 3
TBD -
Gyor -
Koppanymonostori SE 1
Sarvari FC 2
Pilisi 5
Issimo 1
Mohacsi 2
Majosi 4
Godollo 4
Ozd-Sajovolgye 1
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Moragyi SE 1
Siofok 8
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Gyulai Termal 3
Csepel 0
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Kecskemeti TE -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Hatvan FC 0
Tiszafuredi 4
CSO-Ki Sport 0
Putnok VSE 3
Bicskei 0
VSC Veszprem 2
TBD -
Debrecen -
Bony 2
Mori SE 4
TBD -
Honved -
Budaorsi SC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 2
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Szolnoki MAV 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 1
Bordany SK 0
ESMTK Budapest 8
Epitok 1
Martfui LSE 3
Sarbogard 1
Dombovari 6
Szajol 6
Rakoczifalva 1
TBD -
Paks -
Sandorfalvi 1
Hodmezovasarhely 2
TBD -
DVTK -
Intretech Kapuvari SE 0
Dorogi FC 1
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mateszalkai MTK 0
Vasarosnameny SE 1
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sajobabony Vegyesz 1
Eger 4
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Mezoors 3
Haladas VSE 2
Balatonalmadi 1
Komaromi VSE 2
Nagyatadi 0
Pecsi MFC 4
Debreceni EAC 2
Cigand SE 1
Ujfeherto 1
Fuzesabony 2
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Lajoskomarom 1
PTE-PEAC 3
III. Keruleti TVE 5
BKV Elore 0
Nyergesujfalu 0
Tatabanya 3
TBD -
Soroksar -
1/32-finals
Ajka 3
Kisvarda FC 1
Salgotarjani BTC 1
Tiszakecske 4
Tarpa 2
Kelen 3
Ivancsa 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Szarvaskend 0
Ferencvaros 15
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Nyiregyhaza 0
REAC 2
Karcagi 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor 0
Csakvari 1
Erdi 0
Gyor 3
Sarvari FC 2
Pilisi 5
Majosi 2
Godollo 0
Videoton 3
Szentlorinc SE 0
Siofok 1
MTK Budapest 7
Gyulai Termal 0
Mezokovesd-Zsory 2
Kecskemeti TE 3
Ujpest 2
Tiszafuredi 3
Putnok VSE 2
VSC Veszprem 0
Debrecen 2
Mori SE 1
Honved 4
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Szolnoki MAV 0
ESMTK Budapest 3
Martfui LSE 5
Dombovari 4
Szajol 1
Paks 5
Hodmezovasarhely 1
DVTK 3
Dorogi FC 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Vasarosnameny SE 0
Zalaegerszegi 13
Eger 0
Budafoki MTE 2
Vasas 4
Puskas Academy 1
Mezoors 1
Komaromi VSE 0
Pecsi MFC 0
Debreceni EAC 2
Fuzesabony 0
BVSC-Zuglo 4
PTE-PEAC 1
III. Keruleti TVE 3
Tatabanya 0
Soroksar 2
1/16-finals
Ajka 2
Tiszakecske 1
Kelen 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Ferencvaros 4
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Karcagi 2
Csakvari 3
Gyor 9
Pilisi 0
Majosi 0
Videoton 1
MTK Budapest 5
Mezokovesd-Zsory 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Tiszafuredi 1
Debrecen 1
Honved 2
Kozarmisleny SE 0
ESMTK Budapest 1
Martfui LSE 1
Paks 4
DVTK 2
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
Zalaegerszegi 3
Budafoki MTE 1
Vasas 3
Mezoors 0
Debreceni EAC 1
BVSC-Zuglo 0
III. Keruleti TVE 0
Soroksar 1
1/8-finals
Ajka 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Ferencvaros 4
Csakvari 0
Gyor 2
Videoton 0
MTK Budapest 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Honved 2
ESMTK Budapest 0
Paks 2
DVTK 6
Zalaegerszegi 2
Vasas 1
Debreceni EAC 0
Soroksar 1
Quarter-finals
Kazincbarcika 0
Ferencvaros 5
Gyor 3
Kecskemeti TE 1
Honved 1
DVTK 0
Zalaegerszegi 1
Soroksar 0
Semi-finals
Ferencvaros 3
Gyor 2
Honved 2
Zalaegerszegi 3
Final
Ferencvaros 1
Zalaegerszegi 0