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Kedia vs Police - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kedia host Police in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Police have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Kedia have conceded 1 and scored 0.79. Past meetings favor Kedia slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2021, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.50, favoring Kedia. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kedia
30%
Draws
23%
Police
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kedia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kedia come out ahead of Police on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Kedia Clean Sheet 16%
Police Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kedia Police
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2021 Ligue 1
Kedia vs Police
2:1
Jan 2, 2021 Ligue 1
Police vs Kedia
2:0
Feb 12, 2020 Ligue 1
Police vs Kedia
0:0
Sep 17, 2019 Ligue 1
Kedia vs Police
0:0
Apr 23, 2019 Ligue 1
Police vs Kedia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kedia 30 / 100
Police 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kedia Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kedia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Police registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kedia scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kedia VS Police
0 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kedia

(Home)
10 Oct
Kedia
0 : 3
Pompiers
19 Jun
Garde Nationale
0 : 0
Kedia
12 Jun
Madine Trarza
1 : 0
Kedia
06 Jun
Kedia
3 : 4
JAHE
29 May
Kedia
0 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 6

Police

(Away)
12 Oct
Chemal
0 : 0
Police
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pompiers 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Gendrim 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 SNIM 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Nouakchott King's 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Tevragh-Zeina 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Nouadhibou 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Armee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Police 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Kaedi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Chemal 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Nzeidane 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Nouakchott Academy 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Douane 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Kedia 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)