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Keflavik vs Akranes Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Keflavíkurvöllur, Keflavík
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Sigurjonsson R. In: Berndsen B.
Out: Sigurjonsson R.
34' Event
Baxter B.
36' Event
Ragnarsson E.
Assist: Conteh A.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Keflavik and Akranes finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keflavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Keflavik
30%
Draws
47%
Akranes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akranes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Akranes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Akranes a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Keflavik have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43.2%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%
Akranes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik Akranes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.67 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Akranes
5:2
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Keflavik
1:3
May 16, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Keflavik vs Akranes
3:1
Apr 19, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Keflavik vs Akranes
1:0
Oct 2, 2022 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Akranes
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragnarsson E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baxter B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellertsson M. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 26 / 100
Akranes 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik Akranes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akranes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Keflavik scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Akranes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Keflavik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS Akranes
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik

(Home)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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Akranes

(Away)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)