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Keflavik vs Fram

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Keflavíkurvöllur
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Brigic M.
50'
Conteh A.
53'
Aegisson M.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Keflavik and Fram finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Keflavik
39%
Draws
30%
Fram
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Fram haven't matched Keflavik's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik Fram
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 2.88
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Fram
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Keflavik
3:1
Mar 6, 2026 League Cup
Keflavik vs Fram
4:3
Sep 28, 2023 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Keflavik
3:1
Aug 27, 2023 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Fram
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljubicic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Chopart K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 30 / 100
Fram 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik Fram

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keflavik found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Fram's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Keflavik stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS Fram
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik14131048:940
2KR Reykjavik15102353:3632
3Fram1493238:2630
4Breidablik1474334:2625
5Valur1561824:2919
6Keflavik1444619:2616
7Stjarnan1443728:3115
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1443724:3115
9Akranes1443719:2815
10KA Akureyri1441922:3013
11Hafnarfjordur1425720:3111
12Thor Akureyri14221015:418