Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Keflavik vs Fram Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Keflavíkurvöllur, Keflavík
Keflavik Logo

Keflavik

2 - 2
FT
Fram Logo

Fram

Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Elvarsson F.
44'
McLagan K.
48' Event
Ljubicic S.
Assist: Ragnarsson E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Keflavik and Fram finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Keflavik
35%
Draws
39%
Fram
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Fram carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik Fram
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.67 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Fram
2:2
Jul 6, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Fram
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Keflavik
3:1
Mar 6, 2026 League Cup
Keflavik vs Fram
4:3
Sep 28, 2023 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Keflavik
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljubicic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bwomono E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauksson R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurdsson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 34 / 100
Fram 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik Fram

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fram Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keflavik found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Fram conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Keflavik remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS Fram
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik

(Home)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

Fram

(Away)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
24 Aug
Breidablik
3 : 4
Fram
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 24 18 5 1 73:23 59
2 KR Reykjavik 24 14 5 5 80:52 47
3 Fram 24 13 7 4 59:47 46
4 Breidablik 24 9 6 9 47:46 33
5 Akranes 24 9 6 9 44:47 33
6 Keflavik 24 8 5 11 36:44 29
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)