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Keflavik vs Hafnarfjordur

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Keflavíkurvöllur, Keflavík
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Gudjohnsen A. In: Birgisson A.
Out: Gudjohnsen A.
17'
Olafsson I.
26' Event
Birgisson A.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Keflavik and Hafnarfjordur finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hafnarfjordur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Keflavik
44%
Draws
20%
Hafnarfjordur
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Keflavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hafnarfjordur have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 16%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik Hafnarfjordur
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 12
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Hafnarfjordur
1:2
Feb 26, 2024 League Cup
Hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik
1:4
Jul 31, 2023 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Hafnarfjordur
2:3
May 8, 2023 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik
2:1
Oct 15, 2022 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Hafnarfjordur
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljubicic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Birgisson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halldorsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 36 / 100
Hafnarfjordur 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik Hafnarfjordur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Keflavik scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Hafnarfjordur conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Keflavik has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS Hafnarfjordur
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik

(Home)
24 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
5 : 1
Keflavik
20 Jul
Keflavik
5 : 2
Akranes
13 Jul
Breidablik
2 : 1
Keflavik
06 Jul
Keflavik
1 : 1
Fram
28 Jun
Keflavik
3 : 2
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Hafnarfjordur

(Away)
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
20 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
0 : 0
Breidablik
12 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 0
Valur
03 Jul
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 2
Stjarnan
28 Jun
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik16141154:1243
2KR Reykjavik16112358:3635
3Fram16104241:2834
4Breidablik1685335:2629
5Valur1661926:3219
6Keflavik1654725:3319
7Akranes1653826:3418
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1644826:3416
9KA Akureyri1643924:3215
10Stjarnan1643929:4115
11Hafnarfjordur1627720:3113
12Thor Akureyri16331017:4212
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)