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Keflavik vs Hafnarfjordur Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Keflavíkurvöllur, Keflavík
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Gudjohnsen A. In: Birgisson A.
Out: Gudjohnsen A.
17'
Olafsson I.
26' Event
Birgisson A.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Keflavik and Hafnarfjordur finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hafnarfjordur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Keflavik
20%
Draws
57%
Hafnarfjordur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Keflavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Hafnarfjordur taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hafnarfjordur have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 20%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik Hafnarfjordur
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik
2:1
Jun 14, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Hafnarfjordur
1:2
Feb 26, 2024 League Cup
Hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik
1:4
Jul 31, 2023 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Hafnarfjordur
2:3
May 8, 2023 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ljubicic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Birgisson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halldorsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 24 / 100
Hafnarfjordur 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik Hafnarfjordur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hafnarfjordur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Keflavik scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Hafnarfjordur has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Keflavik has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS Hafnarfjordur
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik

(Home)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

Hafnarfjordur

(Away)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)