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Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Keflavíkurvöllur, Keflavík
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Traustason A.
Assist: Sigurdarson A.
11' Event
Mudrazija M.
Assist: Al Ghoul M.
42'
Thordarson A.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Keflavik and KR Reykjavik finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keflavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Keflavik
20%
Draws
51%
KR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KR Reykjavik come out ahead of Keflavik on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans KR Reykjavik's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • KR Reykjavik have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik KR Reykjavik
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.67 3.38
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik
3:2
Apr 12, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Keflavik
3:2
Feb 3, 2025 League Cup
KR Reykjavik vs Keflavik
2:0
Jun 28, 2023 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Keflavik
2:0
Apr 15, 2023 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Mudrazija M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Conteh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Traustason A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saebjornsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 26 / 100
KR Reykjavik 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik KR Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KR Reykjavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keflavik found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: KR Reykjavik conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Keflavik has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS KR Reykjavik
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik

(Home)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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KR Reykjavik

(Away)
19 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)