Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Keflavik host Valur in the Besta deild karla. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Keflavik at 1.86 goals for, 1.71 against; Valur at 1.64 for, 2.21 against. Head-to-head, Keflavik have won 1 to Valur's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.94 - 1.31) back Keflavik to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Valur haven't matched Keflavik's recent run of results.
- Keflavik are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Keflavik | Valur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Keflavik found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Valur conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Keflavik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Keflavik
(Home)Valur
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 64:18 | 51 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 72:45 | 43 |
| 3 | Fram | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 48:35 | 40 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 39:33 | 30 |
| 5 | Keflavik | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 31:34 | 28 |
| 6 | Akranes | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 34:38 | 26 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38:48 | 24 |
| 8 | Valur | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 35:42 | 23 |
| 9 | Hafnarfjordur | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 25:37 | 18 |
| 10 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 30:42 | 17 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31:45 | 16 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20:50 | 15 |
