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Keflavik W vs Afturelding W

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Keflavik W in this League Cup Women 2023 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Keflavik W
15%
Draws
34%
Afturelding W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keflavik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Keflavik W have won more games recently than Afturelding W.
  • Win probability leans Keflavik W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Keflavik W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Keflavik W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Keflavik W Clean Sheet 18%
Afturelding W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik W Afturelding W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 0
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.64 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2023 League Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
3:2
Aug 16, 2022 Besta deild Women
Afturelding W vs Keflavik W
2:3
May 13, 2022 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
1:2
Mar 2, 2022 League Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
2:2
Jun 14, 2020 Icelandic Cup Women
Keflavik W vs Afturelding W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik W 76 / 100
Afturelding W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik W Afturelding W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keflavik W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afturelding W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Keflavik W found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Keflavik W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik W VS Afturelding W
2 Goals Scored 0.33
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Keflavik W

(Home)
15 May
Keflavik W
0 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
26 Apr
KT Reykjavik W
3 : 8
Keflavik W
18 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 1
KR Reykjavik W
28 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 3
Grindavik/Njardvik W
14 Mar
Vikingur Reykjavik W
0 : 3
Keflavik W
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Afturelding W

(Away)
26 Apr
Afturelding W
1 : 2
Akranes W
19 Apr
Afturelding W
:
KH Hlidarendi W
19 Apr
Kopavogur W
2 : 0
Afturelding W
11 Jun
Afturelding W
1 : 4
Throttur W
19 May
Afturelding W
1 : 0
Vikingur Reykjavik W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Throttur W 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Thor/KA W 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Valur W 5 3 0 2 21:10 9
4 Selfoss W 5 2 0 3 11:20 6
5 Hafnarfjordur W 5 1 0 4 11:18 3
6 KR Reykjavik W 5 0 0 5 3:30 0
Promotion - League Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Breidablik W 5 4 1 0 27:1 13
2 Stjarnan W 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
3 Tindastoll W 5 3 0 2 8:15 9
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
5 Keflavik W 5 1 0 4 4:18 3
6 Afturelding W 5 0 0 5 3:17 0
Promotion - League Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)