Sport Picks
Kehlen vs Mertert/Wasserbillig
Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
Kehlen in this Luxembourg Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mertert/Wasserbillig
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mertert/Wasserbillig lately — more wins on the board than Kehlen.
- Win probability leans Mertert/Wasserbillig's way, sitting at 70%.
- Mertert/Wasserbillig arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kehlen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kehlen Clean Sheet 10%
Mertert/Wasserbillig Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kehlen | Mertert/Wasserbillig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 23 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.61 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2016 Luxembourg Cup
Kehlen vs Mertert/Wasserbillig
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kehlen 14 / 100
Mertert/Wasserbillig 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kehlen Mertert/Wasserbillig
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mertert/Wasserbillig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mertert/Wasserbillig's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 23 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: Mertert/Wasserbillig registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Kehlen found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (18 games).
Scoring Trends
Kehlen VS Mertert/Wasserbillig
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kehlen
(Home) 21 Sept
Kehlen
2 : 3 Ettelbruck
01 Oct
Kehlen
2 : 3 FC Rodange 91
02 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 6 Fola
31 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 4 Ettelbruck
03 Oct
Kehlen
1 : 0 Berdenia Berbourg
Page 1 of 4
21 Sept
Kehlen
2 : 3 Ettelbruck
01 Oct
Kehlen
2 : 3 FC Rodange 91
02 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 6 Fola
31 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 4 Ettelbruck
03 Oct
Kehlen
1 : 0 Berdenia Berbourg
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Mertert/Wasserbillig
(Away) 06 Oct
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 3 Schifflange
03 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1 : 0 Mertert/Wasserbillig
18 Oct
Echternach
1 : 3 Mertert/Wasserbillig
10 Nov
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 2 Dudelange
22 Sept
Jeunesse Schieren
1 : 2 Mertert/Wasserbillig
Page 1 of 5
03 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1 : 0 Mertert/Wasserbillig
18 Oct
Echternach
1 : 3 Mertert/Wasserbillig
22 Sept
Jeunesse Schieren
1 : 2 Mertert/Wasserbillig
09 Dec
Sporting Bertrange
1 : 3 Mertert/Wasserbillig
23 Sept
Oberkorn
1 : 5 Mertert/Wasserbillig
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Fola 7
Les Ardoisiers Perle 0
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
US Sandweiler 5
Progres Niedercorn 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
FC Munsbach 0
Hostert 6
Luxembourg City 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 2
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Kaerjeng 4
Mondorf 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Victoria Rosport 4
Ettelbruck 4
Steinfort 1
Gasperich 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 4
Kehlen 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 1
Erpeldange 1
Rumelange 6
Lorentzweiler 4
Bissen 3
FC Mamer 0
Alisontia Steinsel 1
FF Norden 2
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Union Remich/Bous 0
Racing Luxembourg 8
Esch 13
Biekerech 1
AS Colmar-Berg 0
UNA Strassen 5
US Feulen 4
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 2
AS Wincrange 0
Hesperange 6
Mondercange 2
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
Lintgen 4
AS Hosingen 4
Jeunesse Biwer 3
Diekirch 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Differdange 5
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Cebra 1
Jeunesse Esch 3
Jeunesse Canach 3
Syra Mensdorf 0
FC Residence Walferdange 1
Grevenmacher 3
Wiltz 3
Luna Oberkorn 0
Avenir Beggen 0
FC Koerich/Simmern 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Union Tetange 2
Schifflange 1
Dudelange 7
1/16-finals
Fola 1
US Sandweiler 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Hostert 2
Luxembourg City 1
Kaerjeng 0
Mondorf 1
Victoria Rosport 3
Ettelbruck 4
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Kehlen 0
Rumelange 2
Lorentzweiler 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
FF Norden 1
Racing Luxembourg 4
Esch 4
UNA Strassen 2
US Feulen 0
Hesperange 2
Mondercange 3
Lintgen 2
AS Hosingen 0
FC Rodange 91 4
Differdange 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Grevenmacher 3
Wiltz 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Union Titus Petange 0
Dudelange 6
1/8-finals
Fola 5
Hostert 3
Luxembourg City 1
Victoria Rosport 5
Ettelbruck 2
Rumelange 1
Lorentzweiler 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Esch 2
Hesperange 1
Mondercange 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Differdange 1
Grevenmacher 0
Wiltz 0
Dudelange 5
Quarter-finals
Fola 2
Victoria Rosport 0
Ettelbruck 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Esch 3
FC Rodange 91 2
Differdange 0
Dudelange 3
Semi-finals
Fola 4
Racing Luxembourg 0
Esch 0
Dudelange 3
Final
Fola 1
Dudelange 4
