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Kei Lun vs Monte Carlo Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2014
Kei Lun Logo

Kei Lun

1 - 8
FT
Monte Carlo Logo

Monte Carlo

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Monte Carlo in this Elite League 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monte Carlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kei Lun
30%
Draws
41%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Monte Carlo have won more games recently than Kei Lun.
  • Win probability leans Monte Carlo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monte Carlo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kei Lun Clean Sheet 19%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kei Lun Monte Carlo
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.03 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2017 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Monte Carlo
2:2
Feb 24, 2017 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Kei Lun
2:0
Apr 30, 2016 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Kei Lun
5:0
Feb 19, 2016 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Monte Carlo
0:5
Jun 1, 2014 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Monte Carlo
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kei Lun 20 / 100
Monte Carlo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kei Lun Monte Carlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Kei Lun's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Monte Carlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Kei Lun has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Monte Carlo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kei Lun

(Home)
02 Jul
Policia
0 : 4
Kei Lun
24 Jun
Benfica
2 : 0
Kei Lun
16 Jun
Sporting Macau
2 : 2
Kei Lun
26 May
Must IPO
2 : 1
Kei Lun
12 May
Kei Lun
2 : 2
Monte Carlo
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Monte Carlo

(Away)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 16 13 2 1 63:5 41
2 Sporting Macau 16 12 2 2 41:11 38
3 Monte Carlo 16 11 3 2 56:19 36
4 Tak Chun Ka I 16 9 4 3 47:17 31
5 Policia 16 5 4 7 24:24 19
6 Must IPO 16 4 5 7 26:30 17
7 Lai Chi 16 4 1 11 26:52 13
8 Macau U23 16 3 0 13 10:63 9
9 Kei Lun 16 0 1 15 10:82 1
Promotion - Presidents Cup 2015 (Group Stage)