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Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Keith host Inverurie Loco Works in the Highland League 2025/2026. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Keith have averaged 2 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Inverurie Loco Works's 1.88 scored and 1.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Inverurie Loco Works slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.25, favoring Keith. Keith in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Keith
6%
Draws
4%
Inverurie Loco Works
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Keith has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Inverurie Loco Works.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Keith.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Highland League 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Keith Clean Sheet 19%
Inverurie Loco Works Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keith Inverurie Loco Works
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Highland League
Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Highland League
Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works
0:3
Mar 23, 2024 Highland League
Inverurie Loco Works vs Keith
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keith 85 / 100
Inverurie Loco Works 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keith Inverurie Loco Works

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keith scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Inverurie Loco Works let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Keith went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Inverurie Loco Works lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keith VS Inverurie Loco Works
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
2Brechin34235678:2374
3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
4Fraserburgh34215875:3968
5Clachnacuddin34187978:4061
6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
8Buckie Thistle341651362:4753
9Nairn County341541556:5249
10Turriff United341391260:5048
11Huntly3411101346:4343
12Forres Mechanics341171652:6740
13Strathspey Thistle341321949:8338
14Deveronvale341141946:8737
15Inverurie Loco Works34961947:6630
16Wick Academy34772042:6528
17Lossiemouth34452520:7617
18Rothes34142933:1347